我国社会保障支出和经济增长、收入分配的实证研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析  

Empirical Research on the Expenditure of Social Security, Economic Growth and Income Distribution in China

作　　者：谭毅[1] 袁缘[1] 

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学保险学院,北京100081

出　　处：《保险职业学院学报》2013年第1期15-21,共7页Journal of Insurance Professional College

摘　　要：社会保障的作用主要有对社会发展的稳定功能,对国民经济发展的助推功能和对收入分配的调节功能。本文基于向量自回归模型(VAR),对1991—2010年的社会保障支出与国民经济发展、收入分配调节的关系进行考察,实证结果表明:社会保障支出对经济增长的作用无论是短期还是长期的贡献都是非常明显的,但社会保障支出对调节收入分配的作用几乎没有。The social security expenditure has function of stabling social development, boosting the devel-opment of the national economy and adjusting the income distribution. Based on the vector autoregressive model （VAR）, this paper examined the relationship among social security expenditure, national economic development and income distribution during the period from 1991-2010. The empirical resuhs showed that the role of social security expenditure on economic growth, whether short-term or long-term contribution is very obvious, but the role of social security expenditure to adjust income distribution hardly.

关 键 词：社会保障支出 经济增长 收入分配 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F840.61[经济管理—保险]