兰村泉域岩溶地下水水位多元回归模型研究  

Study on Multiple Regression Model of Karst Groundwater Level in Lancun Spring Area

作　　者：尤龙凤[1] 李洪建[2] 严俊霞[2] 

机构地区：[1]山西省太原市水利科学研究所,山西太原030002 [2]山西大学黄土高原研究所,山西太原030006

出　　处：《地下水》2013年第1期36-38,共3页Ground water

基　　金：国家国际科技合作专项项目(2012DF20770)

摘　　要：兰村泉域地下水是太原市工业、农业和城市生活供水的主力水源,采用多元线性回归模型研究了兰村泉岩溶地下水水位,分析岩溶地下水水位与诸多因素之间的相关关系。结果表明:影响岩溶水水位变化的因子主要包括:大气降雨入渗补给量、汾河入渗补给量、泉域开采量、向盆地孔隙水的侧向排泄量。根据不同水平年不同保证率下的补径排关系,对泉域的岩溶水水位进行预报分析。Groundwater in Lancun karst spring area is the main source of water, which supplied industrial, agricultural and urban water uses in Taiyuan, using the multiple linear regression model, the paper studies Lancun karst Springs groundwa- ter in Shanxi Province, and analysis correlation between the karst groundwater level and the other factors in depth. The results show that there are 7 factors affect the karst spring level： rainfall infiltration recharge （ including current year and the past 5 years） , Fen River infiltration recharge, mineable yield of headwaters in Lancun, Zaogou and Sanji, mineable yield of self- well, lateral discharge of pore water. Therefore, it provides a scientific basis to determine the conservation goals and to devel- op protection programs.

关 键 词：多元回归模型 岩溶地下水水位 岩溶泉 

分 类 号：TV211.12[水利工程—水文学及水资源]