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作 者:周意岷
机构地区:[1]中央党校国际战略研究所
出 处:《和平与发展》2013年第1期100-111,120,共12页Peace and Development
摘 要:中东变局以及美国战略重心东移改变了亚欧大陆原有的力量对比状态,使得国际格局的变动成为可能。这一方面促使沙特阿拉伯在中东地区的影响力迅速上升;另一方面,中国在东亚地区的地缘空间遭到挤压。中国若要缓和目前的不利局面,需要采取更加长远且积极的策略,寻找新的突破空间。而中东地区的地缘位置和新形势恰好提供了一个绝佳的机会。在此次中东变局中,沙特积极参与地区事务、扩展影响力,加上其本身的实力和地理位置,正逐步具备成为下一个中东地缘政治支轴的资质。Changing situation in the Middle East as well as the U.S.pivot of its strategic focus eastward,have changed the original balance of power in the Eurasian continent,and made it possible to require an alternation to the international setup.These changes will in a way give Saudi Arabia a spur at suitable time to extend its influence in the Middle East quickly on the one hand,while China's geopolitical space in East Asia region will be squeezed on the other hand.In order to alleviate the current unfavorable situation,China need to adopt a long-term and positive policy,seek new breakthrough in geopolitical space. The geopolitical location and the changing situation in the Middle East provided an excellent opportunity for China.In the throes of disturbances in the Middle East and North Africa,Saudi Arabia lost no time in actively participating in the regional affairs and accordingly its importance is growing. With the endowment of considerable power and favorable geographical location,Saudi Arabia is gradually acquiring the qualification to be the next geopolitical pivot in the Middle East.
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