改革开放以来中国区域经济差异周期波动性研究  

THE PERIODICITY OF CHINESE REGIONAL DISPARITY SINCE 1978

作　　者：刘文旭[1] 

机构地区：[1]玉溪师范学院资源环境学院,云南玉溪653100

出　　处：《云南地理环境研究》2012年第6期70-75,共6页Yunnan Geographic Environment Research

摘　　要：从1978年到2008年的30年间中国区域经济发生了一系列的变化:伴随着计划经济体制到市场经济体制的转轨,区域经济差异也相应产生了很大的变化,设计并验证区域经济差异周期波动模型,利用区域经济差异指标,揭示中国区域经济差异运动具有如下特征:(1)区域经济差异整体变化具有显著的周期性,而非单纯的阶段性收敛或扩散特征;(2)经济差异的周期性波动是市场内化动力与外部政策作用的耦合结果,但是后者作用力在逐渐减弱;(3)中国区域经济差异整体长期趋势为经济差异减速递增,区域经济差异的走向还是在扩张阶段,而且还没有达到拐点时期,中国区域经济差异还将在一定时期内扩大。Collage of Resource and Environmet Science, Yuxi Normal University, Yuxi 653100, Yunnan, China） The regional economy of China has experienced significant changes in the three decades since 1978. With the transition from a planned economy to a socialist market economy, regional disparity in China has definitely widened. In this paper, the authors research a new perspective on the periodicity of Chinese regional disparity. First, a model of periodicity of Regional Disparity is set up, are adjusted into this model to analyze the Chinese regional disparity from 1978 to 2008 on the provincial scale. The authors demonstrate that by relative indi- ces, the regional disparity as a whole has narrowed, while the internal disparity continued to widen until 2008.

关 键 词：改革 开放 区域经济差异 周期 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]