调查失业率与登记失业率之差异辨析  

Analysis on the Difference between Surveyed Unemployment Rate and Registered Unemployment Rate

作　　者：任栋[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学统计学院

出　　处：《中国人口科学》2013年第2期42-48,127,共7页Chinese Journal of Population Science

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(11BTJ010)阶段性成果

摘　　要：长期以来,中国国家统计局仅发布城镇登记失业率指标而不发布城镇调查失业率指标。文章认为,城镇登记失业率和城镇调查失业率是概念、性质和统计方法完全不同的两个指标,中国目前公开发布的城镇登记失业率数据远高于真实水平,而与此同时调查失业率被低估。在此分析的基础上,文章对中国真实的城镇登记失业率和城镇调查失业率分别进行了分析和估计,并对中国实施和发布抽样调查失业率所存在的问题提出了意见和建议。For a long time,The National Bureau of Statistics of China only released the registered urban unemployment rate but not surveyed unemployment rate.Actually,these two indicators are two concepts with totally different natures and statistical methods.This paper shows that the current published urban registered unemployment rates overestimate the actual level,while the survey unemployment rates are underestimated.Based on this analysis,the paper re-estimates these two statistics with published and survey data and puts forward some opinions and suggestions on carrying out and releasing sampling survey unemployment rate.

关 键 词：城镇登记失业率 城镇调查失业率 登记失业人数 就业人数 

分 类 号：F249.21[经济管理—劳动经济]