WTO贸易救济措施争端解决的绩效分析——基于动态非平衡面板数据模型系统GMM检验  

The Performance Analysis of WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism in Trade Remedy Measures:An Empirical Analysis Based on Dynamic Unbalanced-panel Data Model of System GMM Test

作　　者：杨仕辉[1] 郭艳春[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2013年第3期34-44,共11页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：暨南大学三期211项目"贸易壁垒风险测度及其损害的实证研究"(JJ211Y004)

摘　　要：文章在回顾相关研究的基础上考虑四阶段WTO争端解决程序,根据WTO争端案例结案时长不等的特点和多阶段策略选择难以量化的性质,建立WTO贸易救济措施争端解决绩效动态非平衡面板数据模型,运用系统GMM检验,对WTO贸易救济措施争端解决绩效进行实证分析。结果表明:积极援引WTO争端解决机制是能够在一定程度上挽回贸易损失的,尤其是双方在争端解决过程中达成的磋商解决、请求专家组中止工作、相互满意解决或者败诉方执行WTO决定等均对申诉方出口贸易具有促进作用;尽快结案将有利于申诉方,而WTO争端解决案件的持续时间越长,越不利于申诉方。Based on a review of the studies and the four-stages of WTO dispute settlement program,and the length of time unequal among the WTO dispute cases and the natures of multi-stage strategies selection difficult to quantify,we try to establish a dynamic unbalanced panel data model to test the performances of WTO＇s Dispute Settle when dealing with trade remedy measures（including anti-dumping disputes,countervailing disputes and safeguard measures） and the system GMM test method,and empirically analyze the performances of WTO dispute settlement mechanism in trade remedy measures.The results indicate that it＇s possible for importers to compensate trade loss to some extent by turning to the WTO dispute settlement mechanism,especially during the negotiation and execution of decisions.Disputes resolved play a significant role in promoting trade flow.Moreover,the longer the process of WTO dispute settlement lasts,the more harmful to the liberalization of those two countries.

关 键 词：争端解决 贸易救济措施 绩效 动态非平衡面板数据模型 WTO 

分 类 号：F740.41[经济管理—国际贸易]