中国粮食安全问题反思——农村劳动力老龄化与粮食持续增产的悖论  

Reflections on Food Security in China: A Study of the Paradox of the Aging of Rural Labor Force and the Continued Increase of Grain Production

作　　者：纪志耿[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学马克思主义学院,四川成都610065

出　　处：《厦门大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第2期38-46,共9页Journal of Xiamen University(A Bimonthly for Studies in Arts & Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标项目"加快推进农业大省农业发展方式转变研究"(10ZD&015);国家社会科学基金青年项目"新中国成立以来党领导农村公益事业发展的历史进程与基本经验研究"(11CDJ001);中央高校基本科研业务费研究专项项目"农业发展方式转变中的若干重大问题研究"(skgt 201103);中央高校基本科研业务费研究专项项目"‘十二五’时期包容性增长目标下社会特殊群体就业水平提升问题研究"(skqy201106)

摘　　要：目前,我国农村劳动力老龄化带来的粮食增产是"结构性"增长,在主粮产量和播种面积不断增加的同时,辅粮却出现了大幅度下降。若把大豆、棉花、食用植物油等农产品的进口量考虑进来,我国的粮食安全形势实在不容乐观。农村劳动力老龄化所创造的粮食丰产很大程度上是源于现代农业发展中资本对土地和劳动的替代,源于不可再生能源对可再生的自然资源的替代。为了跳出农村劳动力老龄化的陷阱,我国应该在财政扶持、品牌培育、人才回流上下功夫,坚持走一条持续健康发展的农业现代化道路。This paper argues that the increase of grain production along with the aging process of China＇ s rural labor force is a sort of ＂structural＂growth, because when the production of main crops and the area of crop growing increase continuously, the production of supplementary crops decreases drastically. We cannot feel optimistic about China＇ s food secur- ity after we take the quantities of imports of soybean, cotton, edible vegetable oil into consideration. The aging process of rural labor force results from the substitution of land and labor by capital in the development of modern agriculture, as well as from the substitution of renewable natural resources by non-renewable energy sources. In order to jump out of the trap of the aging rural labor force, we should strive for a sustainable and healthy route to agricultural modernization by means of financial support, cultivating famous brands and attracting talented professionals.

关 键 词：农村劳动力老龄化 粮食增产 “结构性”增长 粮食安全 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]