地震综合预测物元模型及其应用  

MATTER-ELEMENT MODELS FOR COMPREHENSIVE EARTH-QUAKE PREDICTION AND THEIR APPLICATIONS

作　　者：蒋淳[1] 田山[1] 陈化然[1] 王建国[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津市地震局,中国天津300201

出　　处：《地震学报》2000年第4期418-423,共6页Acta Seismologica Sinica

基　　金：地震科学联合基金资助项目!( 1 960 0 6)

摘　　要：可拓学始于研究各种主客观相矛盾的不相容问题 ,本文将它引进地震综合预报当中 .通过建立多维地震综合预测物元模型 ,计算各类指标的关联函数 ,给出预测指标的定量数值评定结果 ,研究解决地震综合预测中的不相容问题 .初步结果说明 ,该方法在地震综合预测中有较好的应用前景 .WT5BZ] Extenics was a branch of mathematics for studying the incompatible problems. In this paper, basing on calculating the associative functions of all various indexes, we have obtained the quantitative assessment results of prediction indexes by introducing this theory into the comprehensive earthquake prediction through establishing the matter element model for comprehensive prediction, so that the incompatible problems can be solved. The preliminary results demonstrate that this method has better prospects in comprehensive earthquake prediction.

关 键 词：可拓学 综合预测 物元模型 关联函数 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315.75[天文地球—地震学]