气候变化对干旱区居民生计脆弱性影响研究——基于新疆和宁夏两省区的农户调查  

Effective Livelihood Adaptation to Climate Change Disturbance——Based on Xinjiang and Ningxia' Social Survey

作　　者：谭灵芝[1] 王国友[2] 马长发[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆400067 [2]重庆工商大学经济管理实验教学中心,重庆400067 [3]新疆财经大学统计与信息学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《经济与管理》2013年第3期10-16,共7页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71263049);教育部人文社科青年项目(10YJC790250)

摘　　要：气候变化是导致干旱区居民生计脆弱性的重要原因之一。构建生计脆弱性指标(Livelihood Vulnerability Index,LVI-IPCC)可以评估气候变化对干旱地区居民生计的影响。根据IPCC定义气候变化脆弱性的三个特征,选择新疆、宁夏两个典型干旱省份,调查社会人口指标、生计情况、社会关系网络、健康、食品、饮水安全、自然灾害和气候变化等数据,用复合指标和脆弱性指标进行对比分析。结果表明,宁夏在水资源、健康等方面的脆弱性更为明显,而新疆在社会关系、自然灾害和气候变化等方面更为脆弱。这种实证方法可用于被监测脆弱性,在缺乏地区性数据时检验某种政策的有效性。Climate change is an important cause of arid area residents livelihood vulnerability. LVI-IPCC can assess the impacts of climate change on living in arid area residents. According to the IPCC definition the three characteristics of of climate change vulnerability, the author chooses Xinjiang, Ningxia two typical arid provinces, investigates social indicators of the population, living conditions, social networks, health, food, drinking water security, natural disasters and climate change ect. data, and uses the composite index and vulnerability index analyzed. The results show that, Ningxia in water resources, health ect.sides, vulnerability is more obvious, and Xinjiang in the social relations, natural disasters and other aspects of climate change is more fragile. The empirical method can be used for monitoring vulnerability, test of the effectiveness of a policy in the lack of regional data.

关 键 词：气候变化 可持续生计 脆弱性指标 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]