土地出让收入、地方财政支出对房地产价格影响的实证研究  

Empirical Study about Influence on Housing Price by Land Transfer Revenues and Local Fiscal Expenditure

作　　者：鞠方[1] 林辉叶[1] 周建军[1] 

机构地区：[1]湘潭大学商学院,湖南湘潭411105

出　　处：《湘潭大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第2期56-60,130,共6页Journal of Xiangtan University:Philosophy And Social Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(项目编号:71203190);国家社科基金(项目编号:10BJL018);教育部人文社科规划基金(项目编号:12YJA790062);中国博士后科学基金(项目编号:2012T50697);教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金(教外司留2010[609]号);湖南省教育厅重点项目(项目编号:11A125)

摘　　要：利用2002—2011年我国30个省区的面板数据定量分析土地出让收入、地方财政支出对房地产价格的作用效果。实证结果表明:土地出让收入、地方财政支出与房地产价格三者两两互为因果。土地出让收入与地方财政支出对房地产价格均有明显的促进作用,且地方财政支出所造成的影响要大于土地出让收入;土地出让收入与地方财政支出对房地产价格的影响具有滞后性。因此,在规范土地出让的同时还需重视地方财政支出的优化。The panel data of 30 provinces from 2002 to 2011 has been used to make the quantitative analysis about the influence on housing price by land transfer revenues and local fiscal expenditure. The empirical result shows that： land transfer revenues, local fis- cal expenditure and housing price have mutual feedback effects; the promote effect which land transfer revenues and local fiscal expend- iture have on housing price is obvious1 and the effect by local fiscal expenditure is greater; land transfer revenues and local fiscal ex- penditure have a lag effect on housing price. Thus, it is necessary to optimize the local governmentss expenditure while regularize the land transfer behavior.

关 键 词：土地出让收入 地方财政支出 房地产价格 

分 类 号：F812.45[经济管理—财政学]