城市对外枢纽位置对长距离出行方式选择的影响  

Influence of City External Hub Location on Selection of Long-distance Traveling Modes

作　　者：豆甜甜[1] 孙全欣[2] 冯旭杰[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学中国综合交通研究中心,北京100044 [2]北京交通大学城市交通复杂系统理论与技术教育部重点实验室,北京100044

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2013年第4期64-68,共5页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2012JBM072;2009JBZ012);国家自然科学基金项目(70971010);国家基础研究计划项目(2012CB725406)

摘　　要：结合相关研究成果,改进Logit模型的广义费用函数,研究旅客市内交通时间对旅客交通方式选择的影响,并对其进行敏感度分析。通过建立旅客最大容忍时间模型,计算各交通方式在期望分担率下的旅客最大容忍时间。通过算例研究表明,随着旅客市内交通时间的增加,公路旅客最敏感,其后依次为航空、高速铁路、普速铁路旅客;在同一期望分担率下,高速铁路旅客较普速铁路旅客的最大容忍时间短;高速铁路枢纽更适宜建在距离市中心较近的地方。Combined with relative research results,by improving the broad-sense cost function of Logit model,the influence of passenger urban transit time on traffic mode selection is researched and its sensitivity is analyzed.Through establishing the passenger maximum tolerance time model,the passenger maximum tolerance time of each traffic mode under expected share rate is calculated.Through example research,the result shows following with the increase of passenger urban transit time,the most sensitive passengers are highway passengers,then are the aviation,high-speed railway and common-speed railway passengers in turn;under the same expected share rate,the maximum tolerance time of high-speed railway passengers are shorter than what of common-speed railway passengers;and high-speed railway hub should better constructing near city center.

关 键 词：旅客市内交通时间 客运分担率 交通方式 

分 类 号：U491.123[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]