厦门城市轨道交通项目建设风险管理研究  

The Risk Management of Urban Rail Transit Project Construction in Xiamen

作　　者：罗水兰[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学土木工程学院,兰州730070

出　　处：《价值工程》2013年第11期40-42,共3页Value Engineering

摘　　要：城市轨道交通建设投资成本大,安全事故隐患多严重制约着当前我国城市轨道交通建设步伐,而风险的存在最终都会造成投资成本的增加,有效预防风险可以大大的削减投资及减少安全事故发生的概率,本文通过厦门拟建的城市轨道交通项目,从业主方角度出发,采用SWOT法有效识别其潜在的风险,并采用模糊综合评价方法对这些风险进行分析评价,对风险进行排序,从而找出主要风险,并得出该项目的综合风险等级,最后提出相应措施。The investment of urban rail transit construction is high, as well as the big potential accidents dangers which severely restricts the current pace of urban rail transit construction. The existence of the risk will result in investment cost increasing, effective in preventing the risk can be greatly reduced investment and reduce the probability of occurrence of security incidents. Through the proposed rail transit project in Xiamen, standing on the owner＇s position, using the SWOT method to effectively identify the potential risks, then analyze and evaluate these risks by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, get the sort of risk in order to identify the main risk, and reached the level of risk of the project. Finally, the paper putts forward the corresponding measures.

关 键 词：模糊综合评价 SWOT 风险 厦门城市轨道交通 

分 类 号：U231.3[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]