震群时空演化成因与强震预报  

CAUSE OF EARTHQUAKE SWARM TEMPORALSPATIAL EVOLUTION AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

作　　者：秦保燕[1] 姜秀娥[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地震局兰州地震研究所,甘肃兰州730000 [2]中国地震局预报中心,北京100036

出　　处：《高原地震》2000年第1期1-8,共8页Plateau Earthquake Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目!( 496 74 2 10 )

摘　　要：以综合震源模式为基础 ,研究了强震发生前震群的时空演化特征和强震的位置预报 ,由震群发生时间与外因的相关性探讨大震的逼近程度 ,整个研讨围绕我国的某些震例进行。研究结果表明 ,物理模式对理解震群的成因 ,进行地震预报有重要的指导意义。On the base of comprehensive model about earthquake source,the authors have studied the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of swarm and location prediction before strong earthquake.Besides,they have discussed the degree of close on the strong earthquake according to the relationship between the occurrence time of swarm and external cause.The result shows that the physical model have important guide action for the predicting the strong earthquakes.

关 键 词：综合震源模式 强震预报 震群时空演化 

分 类 号：P315.33[天文地球—地震学]