基于信息流的非常规群体性事件中主体决策模型及对策研究  

Participants' Decision-making Model Based on Information Flowin Unconventional Mass Emergency and Countermeasures

作　　者：杨继君[1] 徐辰华[2] 韩传峰[2] 

机构地区：[1]广西行政学院公共管理教研部,南宁530021 [2]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092

出　　处：《情报杂志》2013年第4期58-62,共5页Journal of Intelligence

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"应对突发事件决策模型仿真优化研究"(编号:10XGL0012);国家自然科学基金重大研究计划重点项目"非常规突发事件处置模式及应急技术集成原理与方法"(编号:91024023)

摘　　要：在非常规群体性事件的形成与演化过程中,信息对参与者的决策起到至关重要的作用。本文以前景理论为工具,构建基于主导信息与情感因子的个体决策模型以及基于主导信息流的群体决策模型,以此研究群体性事件中主体行为决策的内在演化规律,在此基础上提出化解对策。The event information plays a crucial role for participants＇ decision-making in the formation and evolution of unconventional mass emergency. In this paper, the decision-making process of participants in unconventional mass emergency is studied in-depth by using prospect theory. And an individual behavior decision-making model based on the leading information and emotional factors and a group be- havior decision model based on the leading information flow are established to explore the formation and evolution of participants＇ behav- lOtS in mass emergency Then the corresponding countermeasures against unconventional mass emergency are put forward.

关 键 词：非常规群体性事件 决策模型 信息流 前景理论 主体行为 期望收益 

分 类 号：G358[文化科学—情报学]