中部地区承接产业转移会加重环境污染吗?——基于环境库兹涅茨曲线分析  

Will Industry Transfer to the Central Region Add to Environmental Pollution?——Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve Analysis

作　　者：李中建[1] 徐景霞[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学商学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《河南教育学院学报（自然科学版）》2013年第1期49-53,共5页Journal of Henan Institute of Education(Natural Science Edition)

摘　　要：中部地区已经成为全国重要的区域经济增长板块,在承接沿海产业转移和加速发展区域经济的过程中,是否会重复东部地区先污染、后治理的道路?针对此问题,运用时间序列数据分析法,采用1995～2010年的中部各省数据建立计量模型,解析两大环境压力指标的环境库兹涅茨曲线的演变轨迹和趋势.研究结果表明,目前河南和山西两省(占33%)工业SO2排放量随着人均GDP上升而上升,河南、湖北、江西和山西4省(占67%)人均GDP的上升,会带来工业废水排放量上升.总体来说中部地区经济的增长对环境是有损害的.应该将人与自然的包容性增长作为未来经济发展的指导理念,抓紧把环境成本纳入到经济发展目标中,尽快完善环境污染的税收制度.The central region has become the important regional economic growth plate, but in the process of coast- al industrial transfer and accelerating the development of regional economy, will it repeat the way of the eastern re- gion as pollution after management？ To solve this problem, the time series data analysis are used by the central provinces data of 1995 -2010 years to establish measurement model, and Kuznets curve evolution track and trend of two environment pressure indexes of the environmental are analyzed. The results of the study show that, at pres- ent Henan and Shanxi provinces （33%） industrial SO2 emission rises as per capita GDP rises. The rises of per ca- pita GDP of Henan, Hubei, Jiangxi and Shanxi four provinces （67%）, will lead to the rise of the industrial wastewater emissions. Overall the central regions economic growth on the environment is damage. The guiding phi- losophy of the future economic development should be inclusive growth between man and nature, environmental costs into economic development goals should be paid close attention to, and the tax system of environmental pollu- tion should be completed as soon as possible.

关 键 词：环境库兹涅茨曲线 产业转移 经济增长 环境污染 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]