电力市场下电厂投资环境可拓研究  

Extension Study of Power Plant Investment Environment on Electricity Market

作　　者：刘可真[1,2] 王昱婷[2] 束洪春[2] 于继来[1] 莫城恺[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学电气工程及自动化学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001 [2]昆明理工大学电力工程学院,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《昆明理工大学学报（自然科学版）》2013年第2期63-68,共6页Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(50977039;50847043;90610024;50467002;50347026);云南省自然科学基金重点项目(2005F0005Z);云南省自然科学基金(2008ZC016M);云南省教育厅重点项目(KKJD201004001);云南省教育厅基金(07Y40615;08Y0058)

摘　　要：运用可拓学中的可拓分析理论、关联函数理论和相关经济学的参数,将理论、政策和实践相结合,对电厂投资决策进行了深入的分析和探讨,建立了可拓综合评判模型,实现了对电厂投资决策的可拓综合评判,并结合我国电力行业数据,对实际电厂投资进行了全局评价,提出了富有建设性且可操作性强的投资建议方案.基于电力市场的特点对电厂内部绩效、外部投资环境进行综合性的评价,为市场成员的决策选择提供参考,从而优化资金配置、回避风险、追求利益最大化.By applying the extension theory, the correlation function theory and the parameters of economics as well as combining perspective of the theories, policies and practices, a deep analysis and discussion on invest- ment decision of the power plant is carried out in this paper. At the same time, an extensible comprehensive e- valuation model is constructed to achieve the extension evaluation of power plant investment decision. Combined with data of the power industry, an investment suggestion and a risk - avoiding plan are put forward. Based on characteristics of the electricity market, a comprehensive evaluation of internal performance and the external in- vestment environment is put forward, which is referential for the market members and beneficial to optimizing the allocation of funds, avoiding the risks and pursuing maximize of the profits.

关 键 词：电力市场 电厂投资环境 评价指标体系 可拓学 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]