中拉经贸合作潜力与环境研究——基于拉美市场条件的分析  

Sino-Latin American Economic and Trade Cooperation: Potentials and Environment Evaluation

作　　者：岳云霞[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所,北京100007

出　　处：《拉丁美洲研究》2013年第2期43-51,80,共9页Journal of Latin American Studies

摘　　要：在战略机遇期的前半程,中拉经贸合作发展迅速,拉美成为新世纪以来中国出口和对外投资增长最快的市场,由于其增长潜力和吸收中国优势产品的容量,拉美地区仍将是中国未来重点关注的区域。但是,综合评估显示,拉美市场整体已处于临界"饱和"状态,市场的绝对优势下降,且地区多样化的特征较为突出,各部门间"贸易过度"和"贸易不足"的现象同时存在,国家间则形成了亲投资型、亲出口型、投资主导型和出口主导型的不同倾向性分类。为此,在战略机遇的后半程中,拉美市场仍是中国对外经贸合作的重点市场之一,但是合作的方向和方式应作出适时调整:中国在保持拉美地区市场份额的同时,逐步扩大投资;有针对性地克服拉美市场投资环境的不利因素;逐步实现对拉美出口和投资的结构性调整;针对拉美各国实施多样性和个性化的经贸合作方式。In the 21st century,Sino-Latin American economic cooperation grew rapidly.Latin America has become the fastest growing market for China's exports and foreign investment.Thanks to its large potential,it remains to be a key partner for China to expand its international cooperation.However,a comprehensive assessment shows that the region has been at a critical point of being 'saturated',which means that the absolute advantage is declining.The 'excessive trade' and 'inadequate trade' co-exist Regional countries can be categorized as pro-investment,proexport,investment-led and export-led.Due to those factors,it can be concluded that in the next decade,China should focus on increasing its investment in the region and in the meantime,seek to resolve major problems facing its investment.In addition,it is necessary for it to adjust the structure of exports and investment in the region and diversify its economic and trade cooperation with regional countries.

关 键 词：拉美市场 引力模型 环境评估 中拉合作 战略机遇期 

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