基于逐步回归分析的2011-2012年CBA常规赛前八强得分能力研究  

2011-2012 CBA Regular Season Quarterfinals Ability to Score Based on Stepwise Regression Analysis

作　　者：张振东[1] 蒋健涛[1] 王敏娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学体育系,郑州450001

出　　处：《河南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2013年第2期169-172,共4页Journal of Henan Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2011BTY004);河南省政府决策研究课题(2011B759)

摘　　要：采用文献资料法、数理统计法和录像观察法对2011-2012赛季CBA常规赛前八强的各队技术统计数据进行逐步回归分析,并建立影响各队得分能力的最优化回归方程.研究表明:影响各队得分能力的技术因素由大到小依次是:2分命中次数、3分命中次数、罚球命中次数、3分出手次数、3分命中率、罚球命中率和失误;建议各队应根据自身实际情况有针对性地进行得分能力训练,争取对自身球队得分能力的提高进行科学预测和把握.This paper, using the methods of literature, mathematical statistics and video observation of the 2011-2012 season, analysed the CBA regular season the quarterfinals each team statistical date by stepwise regression, and established the optimal regression equation affect each team＇s ability to score. The study showed that： each team scoring ability factor descending order., the dichotomy hits, hit one-third of the number of times, the number of free throws, three-point shots, three-point percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers; Suggestion： teams should target on scoring ability according to their own actual situation, training for their own team to improve the capability of scoring scientific prediction and grasp.

关 键 词：逐步回归分析 CBA 常规赛前八强 得分能力 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]