旅游产业结构水平与城市发展水平耦合协调发展度的时空特征分析——以山东省为例  

Analysis on Spatial-temporal Characteristics of the Coordinated Development Degree between the Level of the Tourism Industrial Structure and the Level of Urban Development: A Case Study of Shandong Province

作　　者：张广海[1] 冯英梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《经济管理》2013年第5期128-138,共11页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大培育项目"我国海岛旅游开发与管理研究"(2012JDPY02);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"滨海旅游环境承载力与可持续开发研究--以山东半岛蓝色经济区为例"(11YJC630130)

摘　　要：本文在构建旅游产业结构水平及城市发展水平指标体系的基础上，对山东省17个地级市旅游产业结构水平与城市发展水平的综合指数进行测算，利用SPSS软件对其进行线性相关分析；构建协调度及协调发展度模型，对旅游产业结构水平与城市发展水平协调发展度的时间序列变化与空间分异特征进行定量测度和系统分析。结果表明，山东省旅游产业结构整体水平滞后于城市发展综合水平，但二者的线性相关性较强；2001—2010年，二者协调发展度呈上升趋势，秩相关系数为0．899，二者的协调发展度等级不断提高；17个地级市的协调发展度区域差异明显，总体上表现为东部沿海城市比西部内陆城市的协调发展度等级高。Drawing on existing researches, based on the connotation of the tourism industrial structure, the evaluation index system of the level of the tourism industrial structure is constructed from rationalization, sophistica- tion and the effective level in the article, meanwhile a set of the overall index systems about economic development, social development and ecological environment is constructed to reflect the urban development. On the base of building the index systems which consists of the level of the tourism industrial structure and the level of urban de- velopment. On the one hand, the index including both the level of the tourism industrial structure and the level of urban development is calculated using the weighted average method for 17 cities in Shandong province, and using SPSS software to analyze the linear correlation between them; on the other hand, it uses the model of coupling de- gree and coordinated development degree, to measure quantitatively and analyze systematically changes of time se- ries and the spatial differentiation characteristics about the coupling relation of the level of the tourism industrial structure and the level of urban development for 17cities in Shandong province. The results show that ： Firstly, the number of the cities which the overall level of the level of the tourism indus- trial structure is greater than the comprehensive level of the level of urban development is only 4, it shows that the overall level of the level of the tourism industrial structure is behind the comprehensive level of the level of urban development in Shandong province, however, the linear correlation of them is significant at the 1% level, it de- scriptions that certain coordination exists between the overall level of the level of the tourism industrial structure and the comprehensive level of the level of urban development in Shandong province. Secondly, from 2001 year to 2010 year, the degree of coupling C between the overall level of the level of the tourism industrial structure and the com-

关 键 词：旅游产业结构水平 城市发展水平 协调发展度 山东省 

分 类 号：F592.3[经济管理—旅游管理]