研发项目进度重大偏差标准设定与应用研究  

Study on the Design and Application of the Significant Deviation Standard of Research and Development Project Schedule

作　　者：张俊光[1] 杨双[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学东凌经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2013年第8期20-24,共5页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金项目(10YJC630384);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(FRF-BR-12-020;007)

摘　　要：为保证研发项目的按时完工率,研究了一种定量的、系统的进度重大偏差标准和风险预留时间设定方法。该方法结合大量的实际项目数据,构筑了一个重大偏差标准的统计分析模型;通过显著性检验,发现回归效果是显著的,具有较高的可信度;通过实际案例,对重大偏差标准设定方法的使用进行了探讨。另外,也研究了通过概率统计确定重大偏差标准的方法。实际应用数据表明,这些方法能够有效地进行重大偏差标准的制定,确保项目按时完工,并实现持续改进。To ensure the timely completion rate of research and development （R＆D） projects, a quantitative and systemic method was studied on how to set the significant deviation standard of the schedule. A statistics and analysis model of sig- nificant deviation standard was constructed combined with some actual project cases; the regression result was found ideal by the validation and the credibility is high; the usage of the significant deviation standard method was studied combined with some actual project cases. In addition, study was also held on how to set the significant deviation standard by statistics analysis. The actual data indicate that these methods could set the significant deviation standard effectively and could obtain continuous improvement.

关 键 词：研发项目 进度估计 重大偏差标准 

分 类 号：G311[文化科学]