空中交通管制安全风险预警决策模式  

Early Warning Decision Model of Safety Risk in Air Traffic Control

作　　者：罗帆[1] 杨智[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》2013年第2期274-278,共5页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70971104)

摘　　要：针对空中交通管制安全风险预警管理中,如何实现有效预警,提高预警信号输出精度的实际问题,引入决策理论,探讨预警管理中存在的决策问题。从漏警、虚警防范的层面,定义预警决策的内涵,设计预警决策模式,并对预警决策模式运行中需要重点关注的决策对象进行了分析,指出指标体系再构、阈值界定,及以预警诊断方法为集合的决策器选择,是预警决策模式的主要工作导向,从而为空中交通管制预警管理理论导入新的研究内容。The existing decision problems in the early warning management were discussed using decision theory. The effectiveness of early warning and the accuracy improvement of the early warning signal output practice were investigated. From the level of preventing missing alarming and false alarming, the connotation of early warning decision was defined and warning decision model was designed. And the decision object which needs to be focused on in the warning decision model operation was analyzed. It was pointed out that the choice of decisions implement, restructure of the index system and threshold value definition were the main works of early warning decision-making model. It provided novel research field in the air traffic control in the early warning management theory.

关 键 词：空中交通管制 安全风险 预警决策 模式研究 

分 类 号：X923[环境科学与工程—安全科学]