21世纪第二个十年东北亚安全环境与中国东北亚外交  

China’s Security Environment and Diplomacy in Northeast Asia in the Second Decade of the 21st Century

作　　者：祁怀高 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学国际问题研究院

出　　处：《国际安全研究》2013年第2期88-103,157-158,共16页Journal of International Security Studies

基　　金：作者主持的复旦大学"985工程"项目"中国崛起背景下边疆发展与周边外交的统筹研究"(项目批准号:2012SHKXQN020);国家社会科学基金资助项目"中国快速崛起背景下周边安全挑战及周边外交战略研究"(项目批准号:11CGJ002)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：在21世纪第二个十年来临之际,中国的东北亚周边安全环境进入动荡和调整的新时期。由于朝鲜领导人更替,地区各国之间的政治互信脆弱,东北亚政治安全环境趋于敏感;由于领土主权与海洋权益争端升温,朝鲜半岛军事对抗事件频现,美、日、韩进行系列军演,东北亚军事安全环境趋于紧张;由于东北亚各国经济继续保持恢复势头,区域经济合作进程加速,东北亚经济安全环境趋于积极。鉴于东北亚安全环境对于中国和平发展的极端重要性,东北亚外交仍是中国周边外交的"重中之重"。在21世纪第二个十年,中国的东北亚外交可以考虑采取以下措施:首先,中国的东北亚外交要以地缘经济合作为切入点推动地缘政治正向发展。其次,中国要以六方会谈机制化为基础推动东北亚安全机制的构建。未来六方会谈机制化在组织体制、组织成员、惩戒机制等方面要有新的思路。最后,中国要推动中国倡导的多边制度与美国主导的双边同盟在东北亚的兼容共存。China’s peripheral security environment in Northeast Asia(NEA) is entering a period of turmoil and adjustment when the second decade of the 21 st century came.Due to the leadership transition in North Korea and fragile political mutual trust among NEA countries,the political security environment is becoming highly sensitive.With flaring territorial and maritime disputes,rising military confrontation in the Korean Peninsula,and frequent military exercises among the US,Japan and South Korea,military and security tensions have been growing.In terms of economic security,the environment is improving thanks to economy recovery and acceleration of NEA economic cooperation.In the second decade of the 21 st century,Northeast Asian security will remain the top priority of China’s foreign policy,and China should make geo-economic cooperation an entry point to promote positive development of geopolitics,which helps to foster sustained cooperation among NEA countries;China should promote the construction of security mechanism in NEA based on the Six-party Talks,which should have a new way of thinking in terms of organizational system and membership and penalty mechanism;finally,China should promote the compatibility and coexistence between the multilateral institutions China advocated and the US-led bilateral alliances in NEA.

关 键 词：中国安全环境 东北亚安全 中国东北亚外交 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]