房地产价格的跨区域相关研究--基于澳门与珠海的实证  

Cross region correlative study of the price of real estate:empirical analysis——Based on Macao and Zhuhai

作　　者：付宏[1,2] 史闻东 宋来胜[2] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学管理学院,广东广州510275 [2]湖北经济学院经济学系,湖北武汉430205 [3]珠海华发实业股份有限公司,广东珠海519030

出　　处：《经济与管理》2013年第5期15-22,共8页Economy and Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学规划基金青年项目(09YJC630060);湖北省教育厅科研项目(Q20121907)

摘　　要：在对澳门和珠海两地经济发展阶段与产业结构进行比较分析的基础上,对两地房地产市场进行实证分析,结果表明:珠海房地产市场受到澳门影响较大;澳门与珠海房屋均价具有极强的正相关关系,即澳门房价每增长1美元,珠海房价增长0.262 904美元,两者之间的滞后时期大约是1年;澳门与珠海房屋均价之间的差距将逐渐缩小,这是由于澳门房地产资本和投机资本将加速进入交通成本极低的珠海市场所致。Based on comparative analysis on stages of economic growth and industrial structure of Macao and Zhuhai, the article has an empirical analysis on real estate market of Macao and Zhuhai,results show that, （1）The real estate market of Zhuhai is great influenced by the Macao＇s; （2）Average housing price of Macao has a strongly positive correlation with Zhuhai＇s,namely,average housing price of Macao rises one dollar each,average housing price of Zhuhai rises 0.262904 dollar, and there is about one year lag period;（3）the gap of average housing price between Macao and Zhuhai will gradually lessen, the reason is that real estate capital and venture capital of Macao will accelerate to enter the Zhuhai Market whose transportation cost is very low.

关 键 词：房地产价格 跨区域相关研究 澳门 珠海 实证 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]