新生代农民工迁移影响因素研究——基于生存分析方法  

Influence Factors of The New Generation's Rural-urban Migration——Based on Survival Analysis Method

作　　者：李丹[1] 任洁[2] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学公共管理学院,成都610064 [2]四川大学工商管理学院,成都610064

出　　处：《软科学》2013年第5期113-116,119,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71071101);教育部人文社会科学基金项目(12YJA630056)

摘　　要：基于四川省内300多位新生代农村劳动力的问卷调查,利用生存分析方法,研究了影响新生代农村劳动力从农村向城市迁移的主要因素及各变量间的数量关系。分析结果表明:新生代农村劳动力比老一代具有更强的进城意愿与流动性;其人力资本存量总体上有较大提升,并对其迁移决策产生显著影响;务农收入和家庭供养负担也对其迁移有显著影响。最后有针对性地提出了培育正确的择业观,改善职业技能培训结构,改革农村土地利用制度及健全劳动者社会保护政策等建议。This paper takes more than 300 questionnaires of new generation rural labor force as research sample ; using surviv-al analysis method ,it studied the influence factors of the new generation＇ s rural labor flow and the quantitative relationship between the variables. The result shows that ： the new generation has a stronger willing and liquidity of going to the cities than the old generation; their human capital stocks in general have larger ascension, and it has a significant impact on the flow de- cision making; so as farming income and family support burden. Finally, it puts forward suggestions including cultivating the correct choosing profession idea, improving vocational skills training structure, reforming the rural land use system and per-fecting the social protection policies of employees.

关 键 词：新生代农民工 流动 生存分析 

分 类 号：F304.6[经济管理—产业经济]