金融加速器效应的经济区域特征与区域产业转移  

Economic Regional Characteristics of Financial Accelerator Effect and Regional Industrial Transfer

作　　者：张良贵[1] 孙久文[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学经济学院,北京100872

出　　处：《产业经济研究》2013年第3期74-83,共10页Industrial Economics Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:71103209);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(项目编号:NCET-10-0824);教育部人文社科项目(项目编号:09YJC790116)项目;中国博士后基金(项目编号:2013M530788)的资助

摘　　要：本文通过构建开放经济下的DSGE模型,估计与模拟了5大经济区域金融加速器,并构建了各经济区域的产业梯度系数,基于此研究了金融加速器效应的经济区域特征,及其与区域产业转移间的关系。结果表明:我国经济中的金融加速器效应具有显著的经济区域特征;产业结构和产业政策导致了金融加速器效应经济区域的差异化表现;区域产业转移影响着区域金融加速器效应特征的演变,且二者之间存在着长期均衡关系;东南经济区的金融加速器效应与区域产业转移相关性最高,也表明该区域的市场化程度最高。In this paper,by constructing a DSGE model under open economy,estimation and simulation the financial accelerator of the 5 major economic regions,and constructing the industrial gradient coefficient of each economic region,to study the regional economic characteristics of financial accelerator effect,and its relationship with the regional industrial transfer.The results show that： the financial accelerator effect in Chinese economy has significant economic regional features;industrial structure and industrial policy leads to the different performance of financial accelerator effect in different regional economic;regional industrial transfer affects the evolution of the financial accelerator effect,and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the financial accelerator effect and regional industrial transfer;there is a highest correlation with the regional industrial transfer and financial accelerator in Southeast Economic Zone,this also shows that it has the most significant market characteristics.

关 键 词：DSGE模型 金融加速器 经济区域 区域产业转移 GRANGER检验 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]