云南省贫困片区居民收入差距分析与预测——以昭通市鲁甸县为例  

Analysis and Forecast on Residents Income Gap in Poor Area in Yunnan Province—A Case in Ludian County of Zhaotong City

作　　者：石璐[1] 扈立家[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南林业大学经济管理学院,云南昆明650224

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2013年第9期4109-4110,4128,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：以云南省昭通市鲁甸县为例,根据2002～2011年鲁甸县居民收入差距的数据,运用Compertz曲线模型,用Eviews软件进行拟合,对鲁甸县居民收入差距进行分析,并给出了2012～2015年鲁甸县居民收入差距的预测值,预测结果显示鲁甸县的居民收入差距会继续扩大。提出了缩小鲁甸县居民收入的相关对策,为云南其他国家级贫困县居民收入差距扩大问题的解决提供启示。With Ludian County in Zhaotong City, Yunnan Province as an example, according to data of residents income gap during 2002 - 2011, using Compertz curve model, Eviews software was adopted for fitting, the residents income gap in Ludian County was analyzed. The pre- dicted value during 2012 -2015 was put forward. The prediction results showed that the income Gap will eontinue to expand. Several correspond- ing countermeasures to shorten the gap were put forward, which will provide enlightenment for solving residents income gap expanding problem in other state-level poverty counties of Yunnan.

关 键 词：鲁甸县 贫困片区 居民收入差距 Compertz曲线模型 分析与预测 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学]