房地产市场调控的Stackelberg微分博弈模拟  

The Stackelberg Differential Game Simulation of the Real Estate Market Regulation

作　　者：陈光华[1] 李红波[1] 

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学建筑工程学院,昆明650500

出　　处：《河南科学》2013年第5期704-708,共5页Henan Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70973047)

摘　　要：房地产市场的发展是一个动态变化的过程,国家政策的调控也随市场的变化而变化.2011年初以来的房地产调控,通过限贷、限购,迫使开发企业主动降价以缓解现金压力,同时通过保障房和体制建设实现房地产长期稳定发展.研究从博弈论视角出发,针对房地产市场中政府与开发商之间的博弈建立完全但不完美信息动态博弈模型.结果表明政府的策略决定了房地产开发商和消费者的最优策略,调控的关键在于解决现阶段社会中低收入群体住房问题,平抑房价的过快上涨.The real estate market development is a dynamic process of change, and the national policy and regulationare modified with market changes. The real estate regulation urged the developers to reduce prices of residentialhousing through property-purchasing limitations and credit limitations since the early 2011. And the governmentattempts to realize a sustainable development of real estate by building indemnificatory apartment and establishing mechanism. From the perspective of Game Theory, this paper researches the game between government and developers to establish complete but not perfect information dynamic game model in the real estate market. The results show that the government＇s strategy determines the real estate developers and consumers＇ optimal strategy, and the regulation key lies in how to solve the present social low-income housing problem and the control of house prices rising too fast.

关 键 词：房地产市场 政府宏观调控 Stackelberg微分博弈模型 

分 类 号：F293.35[经济管理—国民经济]