中韩FTA建立对农产品贸易的影响——基于GTAP模型的研究  

Influence of Establishing China-Korea FTA on Agricultural Trade——A Research with GTAP

作　　者：王文晓[1] 郑雅洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学国际经济与贸易学院,北京100081

出　　处：《广西财经学院学报》2013年第2期74-79,共6页Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics

摘　　要：运用GTAP模型,分三种方案对中韩建立自由贸易区对两国农产品贸易的影响进行一般均衡模拟研究,研究结果表明,如果韩国取消对华农产品进口关税,韩国农产品的价格、产出及贸易量都将受到不同程度的影响,且影响较为显著;但中国农产品部门所受影响相对较小,对世界其余经济体的影响则几乎可以忽略。此外,农产品市场开放会不可避免的对韩国农业造成冲击,因此,双方应当充分理解韩国农产品的敏感性,调整FTA谈判战略,逐步开放双方农产品市场。This paper,by applying three GTAP-based schemes,carries out general equilibrium simulation studies on the impacts of China-Korea FTA on the agricultural trade between the two countries. The results show that if Korea cancel tariffs of agricultural products imported from China,its prices of agricultural prod- ucts,output and trade volume will be influenced to various degrees,and the effect is significant. However,the impact on China＇s agricultural sector is relatively small;that on the rest of the world economy is even negli- gible. In addition,agricultural market liberalization will inevitably impulse Korea＇s agricultural sector. We therefore should fully understand the sertsitivity of Korean agricultural products,adjust the strategy in FTA negotiations,and liberalize bilateral markets for agricultural products progressively.

关 键 词：中韩自由贸易区 农产品贸易 GTAP模型 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]