基于多元回归分析法预测断层防隔水煤柱宽度  

Prediction on Width of Fault Water Prevention Coal Pillar Based on Multiple Regression Analysis Method

作　　者：施龙青[1,2] 徐东晶[1,2] 邱梅[1,2] 景行[1,2] 刘磊[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]山东省沉积成矿作用与沉积矿产重点实验室,山东青岛266590 [2]山东科技大学地质科学与工程学院,山东青岛266590

出　　处：《煤炭科学技术》2013年第6期108-110,113,共4页Coal Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(41072212);山东省自然科学基金重点资助项目(ZR2011EEZ002);山东科技大学科研创新团队支持计划资助项目(2012KYTD101);山东科技大学研究生科技创新基金资助项目(YCA120318)

摘　　要：为了获得在煤柱留设研究中相对比较准确的预测公式,基于多元回归分析法,在总结全国各典型煤矿断层防隔水煤柱相关资料的基础上,以水头压力、煤层厚度、安全系数、煤体抗拉强度为主要影响因子,研究了煤矿断层防隔水煤柱的留设宽度预测,利用Matlab软件绘制散点图,并对其进行了多元线性回归和多元非线性回归分析,得到了煤柱留设宽度的非线性预测公式。通过煤矿实例对公式进行验证,并与经验公式比较,结果表明多元回归分析生成的预测模型具有较高的精确度。In order to have a relative quite accurate prediction formula in the study on the coal pillar left, based on the multiple regression analysis method and the summarization on the related information of each typical mine fault water prevention coal pillar in China, the water head pressure, seam thickness, safety coefficient and coal tensile strength were applied as the primary influence factors to study the left width prediction of each mine fault water prevention coal pillar.The Matlab software was applied to prepare the scatter diagram and the multiple linear regression analysis and muhiple nonlinear regression analysis were conducted.A nonlinear prediction formula of the coal pillar left width was obtained.Verification was conducted on the formula with the mine cases and the formula was compared with the empirical formula.The results showed that the prediction model formed with the multiple regression analysis would have high accuracy and would have relative wide application prospect.

关 键 词：多元回归分析 煤柱留设宽度 散点图 断层 

分 类 号：TD163[矿业工程—矿山地质测量]