美国TPP战略的三重效应  

Three Effects of America's TPP Strategy

作　　者：孙溯源[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学国际关系与地区发展研究院

出　　处：《当代亚太》2013年第3期4-22,155,共19页Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies

基　　金：复旦大学"985工程"三期整体推进社会学科研究项目"亚洲区域经济一体化与跨区域合作:中国对外战略选择与国家建设转型"(项目编号:2011RWSKYB008)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：美国为重返亚洲而推行的TPP战略不仅无法取代既有的地区一体化机制,反而激发了东亚一体化的新发展,使地区合作的趋势和制度化意识都有所增强。TPP还凸显了美国重返亚洲战略所引起的地区安全问题和地缘政治矛盾,它使东盟内部出现分化,使东亚地区安全关系复杂化。此外,TPP也在重塑美国在东亚的角色,使之从"离岸平衡手"转变为直接主导者。TPP对东亚一体化的刺激效应、对东亚地缘政治的搅局效应以及对美国自身角色的重塑效应,有使美国重返亚洲的再平衡战略进一步失衡之虞。Not only will the American strategy of promoting TPP as part of its pivot to Asia fail to replace existing mechanisms driving regional integration,it will actually stimulate new developments towards the strengthening and institutionalization of East Asian regional cooperation.TPP underscores the regional security issues and geo-political conflict created by America's strategic pivot towards Asia.It has caused fractures within ASEAN and complicated East Asia's regional security relations.It has also transformed America's role within East Asia from one of an offshore power providing a regional balance to one of regional leader.The effects that TPP has in terms of stimulating regional integration in East Asia,in terms of changing the geo-political status quo and in terms of re-making America's regional role serve to further aggravate the regional disequilibrium introduced by America's pivot towards Asia.

关 键 词：TPP再平衡 东亚一体化 地缘政治 

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