我国发电技术的低碳发展路径研究  

Research of the Low Carbon Development Path of Power Generation Technology in China

作　　者：苗韧[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《中国能源》2013年第6期30-34,40,共6页Energy of China

摘　　要：电力部门的低碳发展是我国应对气候变化的关键。受电力需求、技术进步、环境政策、能源价格等因素综合影响,未来发电技术发展路线存在较大不确定性。本文结合我国电力发展的规划目标,利用"ERI—技术优化模型",求解了不同政策和技术条件下2010～2050年的电力部门能源消费和碳排放情景。其研究的成果有望对我国电力部门技术选择和政策制定起到支撑作用。Power sector is very important for China＇s low carbon development. Influenced by the power demand, technology improvement, environment policy and energy price, the technologies development pathway of China＇s power sector is facing great uncertainty. In this study, the energy and carbon emission scenarios of power sector from 2010 to 2050 are investigated on the base of ERI-Technology Optimization Model. The results are expected to play a supporting role in China＇s power sector technology options and policy formulation.

关 键 词：发电技术 低碳发展 情景分析 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]