贸易隐含碳与污染天堂假说--环境库兹涅茨曲线成因的再解释  

Embodied Carbon Emission and Pollution Heaven Hypothesis:Re-explaining Environmental Kuznets Curve

作　　者：赵忠秀[1] 王苒[1] 闫云凤[1] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2013年第7期93-101,共9页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目“我国的碳排放交易市场研究”(项目编号:11JZD025);国家自然科学青年基金“基于MRIO模型的中国对外贸易隐含碳及减排政策研究”(项目编号:71103066)

摘　　要：本文在对中国贸易隐含碳排放研究的基础上,使用污染天堂假说对环境库兹涅茨曲线理论进行再解释,深入分析污染天堂假说理论中蕴含的以贸易流、投资流为现象的高碳产业跨国界转移的实质。通过对中美高碳行业与低碳行业NETXC指数变化趋势的对比分析发现,我国正在成为美国转移机械、交通运输制造业等高碳行业的"污染天堂"。中国1990-2010年的数据回归分析结果表明,贸易与消费是造成我国人均碳排放增加的主要原因,对外投资并未对我国的"碳环境"造成压力。Following a study of embodied carbon emission in trade, this pa- per re-explains Environmental Kuznets Curve theory with Pollution Heaven Hy- pothesis in an effort to elicit the essence of the cross-border transfer of carbon intensive industries epitomized in trade and investment flows. By analyzing the transfer of carbon intensive industries from the US to China through NETXC in- dex, this paper finds that China has become the Pollution Heaven of the US in industries of machinery and transportation equipment. The results from OLS re- gression of China＇s 1990-2010 data show that trade and consumption are main causes contributing to China＇s carbon emission increase, while FDI does not harm China＇s ＂carbon environment＂ .

关 键 词：隐含碳 污染天堂假说 环境库兹涅茨曲线 NETXC指数 

分 类 号：F752.731.3[经济管理—国际贸易]