中国地方政府最优规模:三类模型的比较与检验  

The Model of Optimal Government Size in China: a Comparative and Empirical Study

作　　者：罗植[1,2] 杨冠琼[3] 

机构地区：[1]北京市社会科学院,北京100101 [2]清华大学,北京100084 [3]北京师范大学管理学院,北京100875

出　　处：《经济经纬》2013年第4期139-144,共6页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(70733001)

摘　　要：笔者以1978年至2010年的省级面板数据,通过比较不同模型在相同的样本空间下的估计结果,认为基于"Barro法则"的劳均模型与门槛回归方法对中国的实际拟合较好,其估计结果显示中国地方政府的最优规模大约为11%。There are three types of model on estimating optimal government size. They are the model based on ＂Barro rule＂, the model included quadratic term and the threshold regression. It is inconsistent that the optimal government size based on these models. This paper compares estimator of optimal government size on the same dataset using these models. The result shows that the model in the form of per capita based on the ＂Barro rule＂ and threshold regression model are in line with China＇ s condition and the optimal govern- ment size is approximately 11%.

关 键 词：政府规模 ARMEY曲线 Barro法则 门槛回归 

分 类 号：F812[经济管理—财政学]