产业集聚的技术溢出效应研究——基于人力资本的门限非线性估计  

Study on the Impact on the Technology Spillover of the Industrial Agglomeration: Based on the Threshold Nonlinear Estimation of Human Capital

作　　者：崔宇明[1] 代斌[1] 王萍萍[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学商学院,山东威海264209

出　　处：《华中科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第4期101-107,共7页Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(10YJAZH088)

摘　　要：产业集聚能否促进技术溢出,国内外学者的实证检验结果存在分歧。本文从人力资本视角研究产业集聚的技术溢出效应,选取中国1986-2011年各省数据,采用门限非线性估计,验证在不同人力资本条件下,空间集聚对全要素生产率增长的门槛效应。实证结果表明,在低人力资本条件下,产业集聚对全要素生产率增长没有影响,当人力资本跨越"门槛值",产业集聚显著促进全要素生产率增长,且随着人力资本的进一步提高,促进效果明显加强。此外,研究表明产业集聚对全要素生产率增长的影响途径主要是促进技术进步,对于技术效率的影响不明显。There exists divergence of empirical results about whether the industrial agglomeration can pro- mote the technology spillover. This paper analyses the technology spiUover effect of industrial agglomeration from the perspective of human capital. Based on the Chinese provincial data from 1986 to 2011, the paper verifies the threshold effect of spatial agglomeration on the total factor productivity growth under different hu- man capital conditions by using threshold nonlinear estimation. The empirical results show that, the industrial concentration has no effect on total factor productivity growth at a low level of human capital. Once exceeding the ＂threshold value＂ of human capital, the industrial concentration will significantly promote the total factor productivity, and with the further increase of human capital, the effect is particularly obvious. In addition, this paper indicates that, the industrial agglomeration promotes the total factor productivity growth mainly by promoting technological progress rather than technical efficiency.

关 键 词：产业集聚 全要素生产率 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]