FDI、门槛效应与房地产业发展——基于1999～2010年省际面板数据的实证  

FDI,Threshold Effect and Chinese Real Estate Development——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Inter-Provincial Panel Data from 1999 to 2010

作　　者：姜松[1] 黄庆华[1] 王钊[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715

出　　处：《软科学》2013年第7期7-12,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：国家软科学基金项目(2007GXS3D094);中央高校基本科研基金项目(SWU1209457)

摘　　要：基于1999～2010年中国省际面板数据和VES生产函数构建动态面板和门槛面板模型,采用两步系统GMM方法与门槛面板估计方法对其进行估计,以此来分析FDI对中国房地产业发展影响及其适度性。研究发现,FDI对中国房地产业发展的影响效应为负,且存在显著的非线性转换特征;中国房地产业FDI在量上已经跨越门槛值,负向效应逐步凸显,但东部、中部及西部地区的影响存在显著差异。根据研究结论提出了相关应对措施。This paper, based on the inter- provincial panel data from 1999 to 2010 and VES function, builds up adynamic panel model and threshold panel model, which are estimated with the method of GMM and threshold panel estimation, and builds to analyze the effect FDI have on Chinese real estate development and its moderation. Result shows that the Effect of FDI on the Chinese real estate industry development is negative, and there are significant non - linear conversion character- istics ; the volume of FDI in the Chinese real estate industry has cross the threshold, but there are also significant differences in the eastern, central and the western region. At last, response measures are proposed based on the conclusions.

关 键 词：房地产 FDI 适度性 房地产业稳定 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济] F224