我国稀土出口价格困境博弈分析  

A Game Analysis of China's Rare Earth Export Price Dilemma

作　　者：王书平[1] 胡爱梅[1] 吴振信[1] 

机构地区：[1]北方工业大学经济管理学院,北京100144

出　　处：《商业研究》2013年第7期41-44,共4页Commercial Research

基　　金：北京市高等学校人才强教计划资助项目;项目编号:PHR20110869;北京市教委学科与研究生教育专项基金;项目编号:PXM2010_014212_0936

摘　　要：基于博弈的视角,本文利用讨价还价模型对供需双方之间进行博弈分析,发现我国出口企业因缺乏耐心而导致议价能力不足;通过对供方内部的定价分析,发现从一期到无限期、由两家出口企业过渡到n家重复博弈,我国稀土出口企业都无法走出"囚徒困境"。因此,我国应提高稀土产业集中度,积极发挥中国稀土行业协会的作用,并建立稀土储备制度。Based on the game theory, this paper used bargaining model to carry out game analysis of import and export enterprises, finding that export enterprises lack of bargaining ability caused by their poor patience during the negotiation. By making analysis of pricing among our export enterprises, we found that export enterprises couldn＇t come out of the Prisoner＇s Dilemma no matter one term or unlimited terms and no matter 2 or n export enterprises repeated games. Ac- cordingly, China should increase the rare earth industrial concentration ratio, play the role of the Association of China Rare Earth Industry actively and establish the rare earth reserve system.

关 键 词：稀土 价格困境 囚徒困境 博弈分析 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]