西北地区二氧化碳(CO_2)排放与经济增长关系探究——以陕西省为例  

Research on Relationship between CO_2 Emission and Economic Growth in Northwest Region——A Case Study of Shanxi Province

作　　者：刘亚铮[1] 张昭[1] 李延芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,湖南长沙410083

出　　处：《湖南商学院学报》2013年第3期34-39,共6页Journal of Hunan Business College

基　　金：中南大学985工程"两型社会"研究基地资助项目(项目编号:ZNLX1111)

摘　　要：伴随着西北地区经济发展的同时，二氧化碳排放量也逐年上升，并由此引发一系列环境问题。以陕西省为例，对其1978-2011年的二氧化碳排放量和经济增长间的关系进行了研究。结果表明，陕西省二氧化碳排放量和经济增长之间存在长期稳定关系。向量误差修正估计表明，当二氧化碳排放量与经济增长偏离长期均衡关系时，应以19．22％的调整力度拉回到均衡状态。Granger因果检验表明，只存在由经济增长到二氧化碳排放量的单向Granger原因，并且脉冲响应分析表明经济增长对二氧化碳排放量的影响是长期的。Along with the economic growth in northwest region, the emission of carbon dioxide is increasing, thus leading to lots of environmental problems. This paper has researched the relationship between carbon dioxide （CO2） emissions and economic growth in Shanxi Province from 1978 to 2011. The result suggests that there is a stable relation between CO： emissions and economic growth in Shanxi Province. The VECM estimated results show that, when relation between CO2 emissions and economic growth is deviated from the long-run equilibrium, it must be drawn back to a balanced state by 19.22% readjustments. Granger causality test show that there only exist a unidirectional Granger cause from economic growth to CO2 emissions, and the impulse response analysis revealed that the economic growth has a long-term impact on CO： emissions.

关 键 词：二氧化碳排放量 经济增长 协整 向量误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F127.5[经济管理—世界经济] F124.5