我国城乡居民收入差距的主成分回归分析  

Principal Component Regression Analysis of the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Residents in China

作　　者：张嵩[1] 张慧[2] 吴涛[3] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳建筑大学管理学院,辽宁沈阳110168 [2]东北大学文法学院,辽宁沈阳110004 [3]中国科学技术大学管理学院,安徽合肥230026

出　　处：《沈阳建筑大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第2期180-184,共5页Journal of Shenyang Jianzhu University:Social Science

基　　金：辽宁省经济社会发展立项课题(2013lslktzijjx-58)

摘　　要：选择经济发展、第三产业占GDP比重及城市化率等10个影响我国城乡居民收入差距的指标,采用主成分回归分析方法建立回归模型,基于1980—2010年时间序列数据进行实证分析得出:经济发展、工业发展与失业、财政支出与城乡居民收入差距呈线性正相关。建议政府转变传统的城市偏向政策,通过降低失业率,加大财政对农村社会保障和教育支出力度,缩小城乡居民收入差距。This thesis chooses ten indexes including marketization index, the proportion of the third indus- try, and urbanization rate. By using the principal component regression method, we construct the regression model. Through empirical analysis, we get the conclusion that economic development, industrialization lev- el and unemployment, financial expenditure have linear positive correlation with the income gap between urban and rural areas. Finally, we suggest that the government should reduce the gap by the policies, such as： change the city tendency policy, lower the rate of unemployment, spending more finance expenditure on rural social security and education.

关 键 词：城乡居民 收入差距 主成分 回归分析 

分 类 号：F126.2[经济管理—世界经济]