中国经济刘易斯转折的悖论、争议与共识  

The Paradox,Controversy and Consensus of the Lewis Turning Point of China Economy

作　　者：郭金兴[1] 王庆芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济研究所

出　　处：《政治经济学评论》2013年第3期77-91,共15页China Review of Political Economy

摘　　要：中国当前普遍存在农村剩余劳动与民工短缺和工资上涨并存的现象,这与经典二元经济理论的推论相悖,从而引发了关于我国目前是否已进入刘易斯转折阶段的广泛争议。由于使用的判断标准和数据来源不同,学界对此尚未形成一致的结论。但是在这些争议的背后,在劳动市场的发展趋势、存在的主要问题以及应对政策等方面,学者们有着广泛的共识。China＇s current widespread phenomenon of coexistence of rural surplus labor and migrant workers shortages and the rising wages of the unskilled workers, is contrary to the classic dual economic theory and sparked widespread controversy about whether China has passed the Lewis turning point. Due to the difference of the judging criteria and data sources, scholars have not yet reached a unanimous conclusion. However, behind these controversies, the scholars have already formed a broad consensus in the aspects of the development trends of the labor market, the main problems faced of China to pass the Lewis turning point and the corresponding policy responses.

关 键 词：刘易斯转折 民工短缺 工资上涨 剩余劳动 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]