基于周期性指数平滑法的大型公建能耗预测模型研究  

Research on Forecasting Model of Large-Scale Public Building Energy Consumption Based on Period Index Smoothing Method

作　　者：刘晓婷[1,2] 李智 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院计算机学院,山东烟台264001 [2]鲁东大学社会科学处,山东烟台264039 [3]鲁东大学科学技术处,山东烟台264039

出　　处：《鲁东大学学报（自然科学版）》2013年第3期275-277,共3页Journal of Ludong University:Natural Science Edition

摘　　要：根据大型公建月耗能具有的强周期特性,采用周期性指数平滑法对大型公共建筑月耗能进行了预测建模,并编程确定了最优平滑系数,数值结果表明该预测模型有较高的精度和较强的实用性.Based on the strong period characteristics of large-scale public consumption, a model is proposed to forecast the month energy consumption by method. The optimum smoothing coefficients are obtained through programming. that the forecasting model is practical and has high precision building monthly energy using period index smooth The numerical results show

关 键 词：大型公建 能耗预测 周期性指数平滑法 

分 类 号：TU111[建筑科学—建筑理论]