基于Surfer的衡阳气象地质灾害预警系统设计与实现  

Designing and Implementation of Warning Wystem for Meteorological-Geological Disasters Based on Surfer

作　　者：陈涛 陈春艳 周益平 管薇薇 陈融 

机构地区：[1]湖南衡阳市气象台,湖南衡阳421001 [2]湖南祁东县气象局,湖南祁东421600 [3]湖南衡东县气象局,湖南衡东421400 [4]湖南耒阳市气象局,湖南耒阳421800

出　　处：《防灾科技学院学报》2013年第2期63-67,共5页Journal of Institute of Disaster Prevention

基　　金：衡阳市科技局2009年社会发展科技支撑项目(2009ks18);衡阳市科技局2010年社会发展科技支撑项目(2010ks07)

摘　　要：本文介绍了衡阳气象地质灾害预警系统的工作原理,系统架构设计、系统关键技术及预报效果验证情况。在Delphi环境下以Server2003为基础数据库,以Serfur为图形绘制工具完成了系统开发。系统以遍及衡阳的近300个自动气象站的降水实况资料及日本每天2次(08、20时)滚动数值预报产品为原始数据,通过模型计算未来24小时衡阳各乡镇出现地质灾害的危险等级,并自动形成预警服务产品。从2012年6月11日的地质灾害监测效果来看,系统能较好地监测气象地质灾害的发生,但由于数值预报精度不够,监测点预警危险系数粗放,放大了系统空报率。This paper introduces the working principles,system architecture design,the key technology and the forecasting effect of warning system for meteorological-geological disasters of Hengyang.Using delphi to develop the system with Server 2003 for the basic database and Surfer for the Drawing Tool.Taking precipitation from near 300 the automatic weather stations and twice（08h and 20h） daily Japan numerical forecast products as the original data,the Hazard Grade of geological disasters on future 24h for each townships in Hengyang calculated with the model,and formed automatically the product of warning service.The system had a better effect on monitoring meteorological-geological disasters on June 11,2012.But the vacancy rate was amplified for the inaccurate numerical prediction and extensive early warning danger coefficient in monitoring point.

关 键 词：气象地质灾害 预警模型 SURFER 预警服务 

分 类 号：P694[天文地球—地质学]