代际差异视角下农民工乡城迁移与宅基地退出影响因素分析——基于推拉理论的实证研究  

Analysis of Influential Factors of Withdrawing from Rural Residential Land and Migrant Workers’Urban-Rural Migration under the Perspective of Intergenerational Differences:An Empirical Study on the Basis of Push-Pull Theory

作　　者：许恒周[1] 殷红春[1] 石淑芹[2] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学管理与经济学部/公共资源管理研究中心,天津300072 [2]天津工业大学管理学院,天津300387

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2013年第8期75-80,共6页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"农民分化视角下农民养老保障与农地流转:互动机理;影响效应与政策创新"(编号:71203157);国家自然科学基金"基于农户行为的耕地质量与粮食生产能力空间分异研究"(编号:41101537)

摘　　要：在2011年天津市农民工调查数据的基础上,本文借鉴推拉理论重新梳理影响农民工城乡迁移与宅基地退出意愿的因素,建立了农民工宅基地退出影响因素的推拉分析框架,并通过实证研究析出和显化在不同代际农民工城乡迁移和宅基地退出过程中起关键作用的因素。研究发现:在推力因素方面,对第一代农民工宅基地退出意愿产生较大影响的因素主要是年龄、受教育程度、宅基地在住房养老中的作用、供养系数和对农村基础设施满意程度;对新生代农民工宅基地退出意愿产生较大影响的因素主要有性别、教育程度、供养系数和对农村基础设施满意程度。在拉力因素方面,对第一代农民工宅基地退出意愿产生较大影响的因素主要是有无专业培训经历或证书、是否签订劳动合同、区位、单位性质和外出务工时所利用的方式;对新生代农民工宅基地退出意愿产生较大影响的因素主要是有无专业培训经历或证书、是否签订劳动合同、区位、单位性质、外出务工时所利用的方式和是否同城里的人交过朋友。在此基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。Based on the survey data which was conducted on 613 migrant workers in Tianjin in 2011, this paper used the push-pull theory to analyze the factors that affect the migrant workers＇ willingness of rural - urban migration and withdrawing from the rural residential land, established the theoretical framework for influential factors, and then empirically studied the key factors that affect the withdrawing from rural residential land between the different generations of migrant workers. The results show that in the aspect of pushing, the factors that have significant influences on the willingness of withdrawing from residential land for the old-generation of migrant workers mainly include age, education, the effect of residential land in aged insurance, sustentation coefficient and the satisfaction for rural infrastructure ; the factors that have significant influences on the willingness of withdrawing from residential land for the new-generation of migrant workers mainly include sex, education, sustentation coefficient and the satisfaction for rural infrastructure; in the aspect of pulling, compared with the new - generation of migrant workers, professional training experience or certification, signing labor contract or not, unit property, distance from the city are the main factors that affect the willingness of withdrawing from residential and for the old - generation of migrant workers ; professional training experience or certification, signing labor contract and the approach of migrant work are the main factors that affect the willingness of withdrawing from residential and for the new - generation of migrant workers. Based on above conclusions, corresponding policy implications are put forward.

关 键 词：代际差异 农民工 宅基地退出 推拉理论 影响因素 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]