国有经济投资对非国有经济投资的带动效应研究  

Study on the Driving Effect of Investment by State-owned Economy on Investment by Non-state-owned Economy

作　　者：王文成[1] 沈红微[2] 王爔慧 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学中国国有经济研究中心,吉林长春130012 [2]吉林大学经济学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《中国软科学》2013年第7期132-144,共13页China Soft Science

基　　金：吉林大学"985工程"中国国有经济改革与发展哲学社会科学创新基地项目;2012年吉林省社会科学基金项目;(2012B31)

摘　　要：选取1980-2010年我国国有经济与非国有经济投资水平的年度数据,运用相关的结构突变理论和带有结构变化的协整分析方法,对我国国有经济投资对非国有经济投资的带动效应进行深入细致的研究。实证研究结果表明,在长期上,国有经济投资与非国有经济投资不存在着一个均衡稳定的协整关系;在1980-1997年,国有经济投资极大地带动了非国有经济的投资;在1998-2006年,国有经济投资对非国有经济投资的拉动效应更加明显,发挥了其服务和助推非国有经济发展的"助推器"功能;在2007—2010年,尽管"挤进"效应仍为主导作用,但国有经济投资对非国有经济投资的带动能力不足,缺乏广度和深度。Paper selected years 1980-2010 annual data on the level of investment in China＇s state-owned economy and the non-state-owned economy, Structure catastrophe theory and cointegration with structural changes in analytical methods, intensive research on the effect of the non-state-owned economy, driven by investment in China＇s state-owned economic investment. The empirical results show that, in the long term, the state-owned economic investment and non-state econom- ic investment does not exist with a balanced and stable cointegration relationship; In 1980-1997, the state-owned eco- nomic investment greatly boosted investment in non-state-owned economy; In 1998-2006,the state-owned economic in- vestment pull effect of non-state economic investment more obvious play its services and boost non-state economic devel- opment ＂booster＂ function; In 2007-2010 ＂crowding-in＂ effect is still leading role, but the state-owned economic invest- ment capacity to promote the investment of non-state-owned economy, lack the breadth and depth.

关 键 词：国有经济投资 非国有经济投资 带动效应 

分 类 号：F121.2[经济管理—世界经济]