中国城乡居民消费差距与收入差距的误差修正模型研究  

The Research of ECM on the Relation between Urban-rural Consumption Gap and Income Gap in China

作　　者：李雄军[1,2] 曹飞[3] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061 [2]西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710071 [3]西安电子科技大学人文学院,陕西西安710071

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2013年第8期64-68,共5页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目<我国居民消费不足问题的实证研究>(K50510080020)

摘　　要：在以绝对收入假说为基础的消费函数分析中发现,消费倾向差距对城乡居民消费差距的影响不显著,收入差距对城乡居民消费差距影响显著。在此基础上,通过构造城乡居民消费差距与收入差距的误差修正模型,发现他们之间还存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。格兰杰因果检验表明:在10%的显著性水平下,城乡居民消费差距与收入差距有双向的因果关系。为此,要有效缩小城乡居民消费差距,需要消费政策与收入政策协同并进。The consumption gap between China＇s urban households and rural households is significantly affected by income gap between them, and not significantly affected by the disparity in household propensity to consume with absolute income hypothesis analysis. Furthermore, under the model of error correction mechanisms analysis, the long-term stable equilibrium relationship has being in consumption gap in China＇s urban and rural households and income gap between them. And the Granger causality tests have showed that consumption gap does granger cause the income gap between China＇s urban and rural households also the income gap does granger cause the consumption gap at critical level of 10%. Therefore, for fundamentally narrowing the consumption gap between urban and rural households, we should coordinate consumption policies with income policies.

关 键 词：消费差距 收入差距 绝对收入假说 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]