中国现代煤化工产业发展态势预测  

Prediction on Development Situation of China Modern Coal Chemical Industry

作　　者：许冠南[1] 周源[1] 陈晓红[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《煤炭经济研究》2013年第7期30-35,共6页Coal Economic Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71233005);中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(2012T50108);教育部人文社科资助项目(12YJC630324);清华大学自主科研资助项目(20111081076)

摘　　要：文章以煤制天然气、煤制油和煤制烯烃为代表的现代煤化工为例,通过产业资料梳理、专家研讨会、问卷调研及专家意见反馈等多种形式收集数据并深入剖析,从战略目标、市场、技术、资源和政策5个方面绘制了我国煤制天然气、煤制油、煤制烯烃发展技术路线图(2010—2030年),旨在为中国现代煤化工产业的发展提供科学预测及政策建议。Based on the modern coal chemical industry represented as coal to natural gas, coal to oil and coal to alkene as a case, with the industrial information preparation, expert symposiums, questionnaire survey, expert comments feedback and oth- ers, the paper collected and analyzed the data. From the strategic target, market, technology, resources and policy aspects, the technical development route map （2010-2030） of the coal to natural gas, coal to oil and coal to alkene in China was drawn in order to provide a scientific prediction and policy proposals to the development of the modern coal chemical industry in China.

关 键 词：现代煤化工产业 技术路线图 产业预测 

分 类 号：F204[经济管理—国民经济]