基于复杂网络的灾害关联建模与分析  

Modeling and analysis of disasters relationship based on complex network

作　　者：胡明生[1] 贾志娟[1] 雷利利[1] 洪流[2] 

机构地区：[1]郑州师范学院信息科学与技术学院,郑州450044 [2]华中科技大学系统工程研究所,武汉430074

出　　处：《计算机应用研究》2013年第8期2315-2318,共4页Application Research of Computers

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(U1204703);中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(2012QN087;2012QN088);河南省重点科技攻关项目(122102310004);郑州市创新型科技人才队伍建设工程资助项目(10LJRC190)

摘　　要：为研究灾害间的内部关联,提出根据灾害发生的时间跨距来计算灾害间的共现率和引发率,然后依据引发率对灾种建立复杂网络模型,通过度、点权、点介数等方法来研究复杂网络中每个节点的重要性,为灾害阻断策略提供依据,并提出有向加权网聚类系数的计算方法,模拟实验结果验证了此算法的有效性。In order to study the internal relevancy between disasters, this paper proposed to calculate the co-occurrence rate and trigger rate between the disasters by their time span, then established the complex network model of＇disasters by the trigger rate, and researched the importance of every nodes in the network by degree, node strength and node betweenness. Finally, it proposed the clustering coefficient of the directed weights network. Experimental results indicate the effectiveness of the pro- posed algorithm, in order to provide the basis for disasters blocking strategy.

关 键 词：共现分析 灾害引发率 复杂网络 聚类系数 

分 类 号：TP301[自动化与计算机技术—计算机系统结构]