基于主成分分析法的电力需求影响因素分析  

Analysis on Influencial Factor of Power Demand Based on Principal Component Analysis

作　　者：崔巍[1] 都秀文[1] 杨海峰[2] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学管理学院,辽宁省大连市116026 [2]重庆市电力公司发展计划部,重庆市400014

出　　处：《电力建设》2013年第8期34-39,共6页Electric Power Construction

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71072124);2012年度中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2012JC073)

摘　　要：目前电力资源需求与经济社会发展之间关系的研究已成为一个重要的课题,区域电力市场的发展直接影响着地区经济社会和人民生活水平的发展。以重庆市为例研究电力需求的影响因素,将宏观经济与社会发展相结合寻找有利指标,运用多元统计分析中的主成分分析(principal component analysis,PCA)方法对指标进行筛选和分析,得出电力需求的主要影响因素,旨在为区域性电力市场规划提供有力依据。The study on the relationship between power demand and economic and social development has increasingly become an important issue. The development of regional electricity market directly affects the development of regional economy and society, and the people＇s living standards. Taking Chongqing as an example, the influencial factors of power demand were studied, and the macro-economic and the social development were combined to find a favorable index. The main influencing factors of power demand were obtained through the screening and analysis of indicators with using principal component analysis （PCA） in multivariate statistical analysis, which could provide a strong basis for the planning of regional electricity market.

关 键 词：电力需求 影响因素 主成分分析法 区域电力市场 指标筛选 

分 类 号：F406.72[经济管理—产业经济]