中国农产品贸易隐含的CO_2评估——基于非竞争型投入产出模型  

The Measurement of CO_2 Embodied in International Agro-Product Trade in China: Based on Non-Competitive Input-Output Model

作　　者：许源[1] 顾海英[1] 吴开尧[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海200052 [2]上海金融学院统计系,上海201209

出　　处：《生态经济》2013年第8期82-86,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71141022)

摘　　要：在有关国际贸易隐含碳的研究中,大多使用竞争型投入产出模型,同时农产品贸易隐含碳少有提及。文章通过构建非竞争型投入产出模型精确地评估了1995～2005年中国农产品贸易隐含的CO2。结果表明:中国农业的CO2排放不容忽视,需要进一步加大节能减排力度;农产品生产所排放的CO2有3.71%～4.50%是由出口所产生的,农产品消费所排放的CO2有3.29%～10.10%是由进口来满足的,尤其是中间投入的进口"节省"了大量的CO2排放;农产品净出口隐含的CO2不断减少,中国逐渐成为农产品CO2排放净进口国,农产品贸易为节能减排做出了贡献。The competitive input-output model was used for the most research in CO2 embodied in international trade.At the same time,there is few research in CO2 embodied in international agro-product trade.This paper measures accurately CO2 embodied in agricultural international trade in China in 1995-2005 by constructing a non-competitive input-output model.The conclusions are as follows： Firstly,agricultural CO2 emissions in China can not be ignored,agriculture should increase further the efforts of energy saving and emission reducing.Secondly,China export brought about 3.71%-4.50% of CO2 emissions in agriculture production and import fulfilled 3.29%-10.10% of CO2 emissions in agriculture consumption,especially the import of intermediate inputs saved a large number CO2 emissions.Thirdly,the CO2 embodied in agricultural net export decreased gradually,China became a net importer of CO2 emissions.Agricultural international trade in China contributed to energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction.

关 键 词：农产品贸易 CO2排放 非竞争型投入产出模型 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]