千河流域土地利用空间格局模拟及其影响因素分析  

Simulation of land use spatial pattern and driving force analysis in Qian river basin

作　　者：王美霞[1] 任志远[2] 王永明[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉首大学商学院,湖南吉首416000 [2]陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,西安710062

出　　处：《测绘科学》2013年第4期34-36,151,共4页Science of Surveying and Mapping

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(2009JJD770025)

摘　　要：本文以黄土高原生态脆弱区千河流域为研究对象,遴选出影响土地利用空间分布的关键自然和社会经济因子,在考虑空间数据自相关性影响的基础上,综合利用GIS空间分析和二元Logistic回归分析等方法,构建2005年千河流域耕地、林地和草地三种主要地类空间分布概率二元Logistic回归模型,对该流域土地利用空间格局进行模拟和分析。结果表明,模拟结果较为理想,且不同驱动因子对不同地类空间分布格局的影响程度不同。Taking Qian river basin in the ecological fragile area of loess plateau as an example, the paper selected the key natural and social economic factors that closely ties to the regional land use spatial distribution, and on considering the spatial data autocorrela- tion influence, constructed binary Logistic regression model of land use spatial distribution probability of crop land, forest and grassland in 2005 by the methods of the GIS spatial analysis and binary Logistic regression analysis, etc. Then the land use pattern was simulated and analyzed. The results showed that the simulation results were good, and the different drivers had different degree impacts on the different land use type spatial patterns.

关 键 词：土地利用空间格局 空间模拟 二元LOGISTIC回归 千河流域 

分 类 号：P208[天文地球—地图制图学与地理信息工程] F301[天文地球—测绘科学与技术]