Has the Geek Financial Problem Triggered the Debt Problem in the Whole Eurozone? An Analysis Based on Econophysics  

Has the Geek Financial Problem Triggered the Debt Problem in the Whole Eurozone? An Analysis Based on Econophysics

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作  者:Lykourgos Magafas 

机构地区:[1]Kavala Institute of Technology, Kavala, Greece

出  处:《China-USA Business Review》2013年第7期655-661,共7页美中经济评论(英文版)

摘  要:The present paper analyzes the Greek financial problem shows the position of the Greek economy in 2009, the solution that has been chosen by the European Financial Authorities, the results of this process and finally, correlates the Greek financial problem with the Eurozone debt problem. More specifically taking into account the Greek financial macroeconomic data of 2008 and 2009, explains the measures that they have been taken to make the Greek General Government to be the zero deficit. Also examines the process of internal devaluation based on a price-income (P-Y) diagram and it is correlated with the thermodynamic one (Pressure (P)-Volume (V)). However, this process of internal devaluation emerged some important problems that the whole program to be in strong questioning by an important part of the Greek society. The paper shows the present macroeconomic position of Greece after three year austerity and analyzes the necessity of the structural reforms in Greek economy in order to make the public debt to be almost 120% at 2020. Furthermore, it has examined the financial problem of Eurozone concerning to the debt problem as well as and the source of this problem. It is proposed the solution of the inflation haircut that will take three years to make the average depth of Eurozone to be less than 70% and the Euro to remain the unique currency in the Eurozone. Finally, this work carried out calculations on macroeconomic data using methods from the field of non-linear dynamics.

关 键 词:internal devaluation debt management Eurozone crisis ECONOPHYSICS inflation haircut financial federalization 

分 类 号:O4-05[理学—物理] F812.42[经济管理—财政学]

 

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